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Friday, January 4, 2013

School Shootings: What Are The Odds, Part III


In Part I of this series, I estimated the likelihood of a school shooting taking place at a particular US school in any given year. In Part II, I estimated the likelihood of at least one school shooting taking place at any school in the US in any given year.

In Part III, I will attempt to calculate the odds of a particular US student being shot and/or shot and killed in a school shooting in any given year. Here are the numbers:

In the last 13 years, there have been roughly 55.5 million students in K-12 schools in America each year (including public and private schools). This number comes from the 2011 census estimates. As the US population has grown in the last decade, it is likely 55.5 million is a bit of an overestimate for the earlier years. Using this number will then slightly underestimate the odds of a shooting or killing.

Following are the numbers of students who have been wounded or killed in school shootings in the US in the last 13 years (note: more people than this have died in US school shootings, but I am only focusing on students, not administrators/teachers. I am also excluding the killers):

Data from Infoplease.com
There are roughly 38.8 million students in US K-8 schools and 16.4 million US students in 9-12 schools (exact numbers at edreform.com). Using the appropriate weighting, the average risk of a particular US student being shot at school in any given year is as follows:

Student of any age: 1 in 7.8 million
K-8 Student:            1 in 14.4 million
9-12 Student:           1 in 3.7 million

The average risk of a particular US student being shot and killed at school in any given year is as follows:

Student of any age: 1 in 15 million
K-8 Student:            1 in 18 million
9-12 Student:           1 in 10.6 million

As always, these odds are merely estimates based on readily available statistics. In no way are they completely accurate. What they indicate, however, is it is extremely unlikely that any one particular student will get shot while at school in a particular year.

But, keep this in mind: Even though your child probably won't get shot, the chances of someone's child getting shot at school in the next year is extremely high (around 85-90%).

Thanks for reading-- Max Wachtel, Ph.D.
www.CherryCreekPsychology.com
www.Facebook.com/drmaxwachtel
www.Twitter.com/mwachtel

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hello everyone this is serious and real i want to tell the whole world about how DR OTUBO HERBAL MIXTURE CREAM helped me enlarge my penis size ..i have trying since 19 years of age to enlarge my penis but none rendered me the help i want i have used vaccines,penis pump,surgery,online creams from USA SAMOA,CANADA CAMBODIA,AUSTRALIA and many more but none of them enlarge my penis i was really frustrated and tired of living because my penis was too small ,imagine a cute and handsome 36years old man like me having 3.5 inches and to make it worse i was having erectile dysfunction which was so annoying to me,my girlfriends have left me because of my small penis ....to GOD be the glory as i was searching for help on a facebook page i saw one mr JEREMY WILLIAMS from italy testifying of how DR OTUBO MIXTURE CREAM enlarge his penis and healed his grandmom PROSTRATE CANCER .so i quickly visited his website link and message him on his email i saw on the website and he replied me and gave me comforting words and told me all i need to do and i was surprise he did not ask for money ,,i got his cream and he sent it to me through united parcel service (UPS)and i got it 4 days later and used the cream just as he told me and its just 1 days of using his herbal mixture my penis is now 11 inches long and 8.0 flaccidity am so happy to feel like a man in the bedroom at last so if you need penis enlargement,DIABETES 1/2 CURE,HERPES CURE,HIV/AIDS,CANCER,ALOPECIA,LUPUS DISEASE,PILE,LOW SPERM COUNT,PREMATURE EJACULATION,ERECTILE DYSFUNCTION,breast enlargement,weak erection,erectile dysfunction cure and many sexual relation cure do not hesitate to email him now drotubospellhome@gmail.com or you can also call him on (+2349030803982) or (+2348115151940)

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I want to share a testimony of how Dr.sule herbal mixture cream saves me from shame and disgrace, my penis was a big problem to me as the size was really so embarrassing,and i was also having weak erection problem. I can't make love to my wife and my penis was just too small a full grown man like me having 4 inches penis and to worsen it i don't last in sex i cant even last five minutes it was really a thing of shame to me. My wife was really tired of me because my sex life was very poor,she never enjoyed sex,i was always thinking and searching for solutions everywhere until when i saw a testimony of how Dr.sule herbal mixture cream have been helping people regarding their sex life, so i decided to give him a try and to my greatest surprise in less than one week of taking the herbs my penis grow to 8 inches i couldn't believe my eyes and as i speak now my penis is now 8 inches and i do not have week erection again. I can make love to my wife longer in bed. And my marriage is now stable,my wife now enjoy me very well in bed. You can contact him via {Drsulemanherbalhome@gmail.com) .he also specialize on the following things
BREAST ENLARGEMENT
BREAST LIFT & REDUCTION
PENILE/PENIS ENLARGEMENT
GENERAL BODY SLIMMING
Thanks for the Enlarging my penis sir, you indeed save my marriage...I am really grateful sir

Hello everybody,
I don't just know the reason why some people is finding it difficult to believe that there is a cure for herpes, I have been suffering from herpes since last three years with my boyfriend but today I am happy that am cure from it with the herbal medicine of Dr irabor the great healer,I was browsing the internet searching for help when I came across a testimony shared by someone on how Dr irabor cure his herpes I was so much in need of getting his treatment but after all Dr irabor brought a smile to my face with his herbal medicine. I am so much happy today that we have someone like this great healer out there, so my people out there kindly contact this great healer on his email address: driraborthehsvcurer@gmail.com please sir keep your good work cause there are people out there who is in need of your healing medicine.once more contact him now: driraborthehsvcurer@gmail.com you can call him or whatsApp his number +2348140248509

Hello everybody,
I don't just know the reason why some people is finding it difficult to believe that there is a cure for herpes, I have been suffering from herpes since last three years with my boyfriend but today I am happy that am cure from it with the herbal medicine of Dr irabor the great healer,I was browsing the internet searching for help when I came across a testimony shared by someone on how Dr irabor cure his herpes I was so much in need of getting his treatment but after all Dr irabor brought a smile to my face with his herbal medicine. I am so much happy today that we have someone like this great healer out there, so my people out there kindly contact this great healer on his email address: driraborthehsvcurer@gmail.com please sir keep your good work cause there are people out there who is in need of your healing medicine.once more contact him now: driraborthehsvcurer@gmail.com you can call him or whatsApp his number +2348140248509


My Genital Herpes wasn't easy But as time has passed, I have slowly come to terms with my Genital herpes, status and try to tackle it with a positive attitude. In mid-2015 I became quite ill. I developed persistent flu-like symptoms, headaches, a nagging cough and sores that wouldn't heal. My skin felt as if it was crawling, my legs ached, I felt nauseous and lost weight. Then exhaustion hit. It was an indescribable tiredness and no matter how much I slept I never felt rested. In 2015 I was hospitalized when my CD4 count nosedived to 86 ( Herpes-negative people have a CD4 count of between 700 and 1,000; a CD4 count of below 200 is considered dangerously low). It was a terrible time. There are lot to say about Dr Irabor but i can only mention few right now, this man is a very great, good and powerful Dr Irabor, all thanks to him for given me a second chance, if you are out there passing through any problem, you can contact him today on his email via: (driraborthehsvcurer@gmail.com or what-sap him now on +2348140248509), and i know that he will help you also. Contact him for any kind of disease below like: 1 Cancer 2 HIV Aids 3 Hepatitis C 4 Barrenness 5 Herpes 6 HPV 7 Gono 8 STI (sexually transmitted infection) 9 STD (sexually transmitted disease) 10 Stroke. 11.Lupes. 12.Als. 13.Hsv

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Erectile dysfunction has been a problem to me for years,my wife always get disappointed with me when ever will are in bed,i don’t last for up to two minute,during sex, i have taking different medication but to no solution,then i went on the net for a solution on how to enlarge my penis and i got contact of DR OSEBOR who help in cure erection and ejaculation problem with his product and also help to enlarge penis,i got in touch with him through is email oseborwinbacktemple@gmail.com and i got the product. which i took for just a week and my ejaculation is now normal and my erection is hard and my
penis got bigger than before and now i can last long in bed. now 10.5 inches long on erection and off course very large round. I am very happy for this Penis Enlargement experience no side problem . He can help with all kinds of cure you may need as flows:
Pines Enlargement
Low sperm count
Weak Erection
Love spell
Herpes spell
HIV spell
Pregnancy spell
Marriage for spell
cancer
watering sperm
womb fertilization
penis erection
witch craft attack
s t d diseases
internal heat
rashes
low sperm count
dairy
long time sickness
kidney,heart,lungs,problem
with doctor,DR OSEBOR you are in safe hands your healing is assured
Email:oseborwinbacktemple@gmail.com for his what sapp number: +2349066110887
website : oseborwinback.wordpress.com

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